What the Altman Z-Score measures
Edward Altman published the Z-Score in 1968 in The Journal of Finance: five ratios, weighted by a discriminant analysis of 66 US manufacturers, half of which had gone bankrupt. It measures how close a company’s financial profile is to that of companies that failed. It is a warning indicator, not a forecast, and it says nothing about the share price being high or low.
History, a worked example and the limits: our article on the Altman Z-Score.
The three formulas
Z = 1.2·X1 + 1.4·X2 + 3.3·X3 + 0.6·X4 + 1.0·X5 (X4 = market value of equity / total liabilities)Z′ = 0.717·X1 + 0.847·X2 + 3.107·X3 + 0.420·X4′ + 0.998·X5 (X4′ = book equity / total liabilities)Z″ = 6.56·X1 + 3.26·X2 + 6.72·X3 + 1.05·X4′- Z: safe above 2.99, distress below 1.81
- Z′: safe above 2.90, distress below 1.23
- Z″: safe above 2.60, distress below 1.10
Which version to use
- Listed manufacturer: Z, the original formula.
- Private company: Z′, which uses book equity because there is no market value.
- Retailer, service company, non-manufacturer: Z″, which drops the revenue-to-assets ratio, since asset turnover varies too much between industries.
- Bank or insurer: none of them. Their leverage is their business model, and all three versions put almost all of them in distress.
What the score does not say
A distress-zone score does not announce a bankruptcy, and a safe-zone score does not protect from a sudden shock. Heavy buybacks shrink retained earnings and equity and can push a sound company down. On 7 November 2026, 21% of the large non-financial companies InvestIQ follows were in the distress zone on the original formula (stock market statistics).
Read the score with cash, debt maturities and the trend of the accounts, which the Piotroski F-Score calculator measures.